From the position of the present state of knowledge, some people don’t want a ban/pause button to be pressed now, but they want the button to be there in case they want to press it in the future. I don’t think saying someone “doesn’t endorse an AI ban/pause” should by default mean they won’t change their mind when the fabric of reality is on fire, or can’t at all anticipate the possibility.
The disagreement is rather that they assign a low probability to extinction/disempowerment on the current trajectory, expect concrete and actionable signs of things going very wrong, and think that the button will still work if it’s not pressed much earlier than that.
From the position of the present state of knowledge, some people don’t want a ban/pause button to be pressed now, but they want the button to be there in case they want to press it in the future. I don’t think saying someone “doesn’t endorse an AI ban/pause” should by default mean they won’t change their mind when the fabric of reality is on fire, or can’t at all anticipate the possibility.
The disagreement is rather that they assign a low probability to extinction/disempowerment on the current trajectory, expect concrete and actionable signs of things going very wrong, and think that the button will still work if it’s not pressed much earlier than that.