GPT5T roughly agrees with your estimate of nuclear winter deaths, so I’m probably way off. Looks like my information was well out of date; that conversation was from 2017 or so. And yes, deaths from winter-induced famine might be substantially mitigated if someone with AGI-developed tech bothered.
Thanks for the clairifications on trade vs kindness. I am less optimistic about trade, causal or acausal, than you, but it’s a factor.
GPT5T roughly agrees with your estimate of nuclear winter deaths, so I’m probably way off. Looks like my information was well out of date; that conversation was from 2017 or so. And yes, deaths from winter-induced famine might be substantially mitigated if someone with AGI-developed tech bothered.
Thanks for the clairifications on trade vs kindness. I am less optimistic about trade, causal or acausal, than you, but it’s a factor.