Any instance of the planning fallacy is an example of this—any setback, regardless of what the specific setback is, would make one expect a project to take longer to do, but by default people predict timelines as if the project will go smoothly even though if you asked them they’d say that they’d expect there to probably be a setback of some form.
Any instance of the planning fallacy is an example of this—any setback, regardless of what the specific setback is, would make one expect a project to take longer to do, but by default people predict timelines as if the project will go smoothly even though if you asked them they’d say that they’d expect there to probably be a setback of some form.