An observation, which is not intended to contradict your thesis but I think is worth considering as I begin to read through your body of work: there are some cases where the feedback loop between the “lens” (us) and reality causes iterative adjustments to the lens to actually warp reality, making proper correction impossible.
Consider the stock market. Here we might hold belief X, which causes us to predict that Y situation will result in Z outcome. Concretely, we might say that “AI is very important” and then use this belief to predict that “companies which prioritize AI should be valued higher.” If many people do this, it is very likely that reality ‘warps’ and this stock is now overpriced. This might cause me to correct my lens through experimental observation. Now I believe that “shareholders overvalue AI hype, therefore I predict that a company talking about AI will result in the stock being overvalued.” Acting on this belief then, I might divest myself of e.g. Salesforce as they pivot towards AI. Unfortunately, many other people may have already also come to this conclusion and applied their own correction… and so forth in an infinite recursion.
An observation, which is not intended to contradict your thesis but I think is worth considering as I begin to read through your body of work: there are some cases where the feedback loop between the “lens” (us) and reality causes iterative adjustments to the lens to actually warp reality, making proper correction impossible.
Consider the stock market. Here we might hold belief X, which causes us to predict that Y situation will result in Z outcome. Concretely, we might say that “AI is very important” and then use this belief to predict that “companies which prioritize AI should be valued higher.” If many people do this, it is very likely that reality ‘warps’ and this stock is now overpriced. This might cause me to correct my lens through experimental observation. Now I believe that “shareholders overvalue AI hype, therefore I predict that a company talking about AI will result in the stock being overvalued.” Acting on this belief then, I might divest myself of e.g. Salesforce as they pivot towards AI. Unfortunately, many other people may have already also come to this conclusion and applied their own correction… and so forth in an infinite recursion.