[ETA: Without following the link,] I have no idea whether you agree with them and “serious adults” is supposed to imply Eliezer isn’t one, or you agree with Eliezer and mean “serious adults” sarcastically
I agree with Eliezer. I am trying to express that despite this story being seemingly a caricature of a silly person, this is close to how real experts at the doom labs are thinking. I read the story and thought it was good though I can see where some of the criticism in the comments may come from. My guess is that the story is trying to express: “don’t overestimate people, don’t be surprised in the future if humanity does really dumb stuff. Calibrate yourself that people believe really dumb arguments.” But not sure, maybe he was just venting.
“As you can see”, “serious adults”, “really” and “fine” all (mildly) demonstrate a sense of incredulity. “Look what these people actually believe! Just in case you thought it was a strawman.” It’s admittedly subtle, not stated, and I can see how someone could miss it. (I’ll feel pretty stupid if I’m wrong.)
As you can see, the serious adults in the room at DeepMind are really using comparative advantage as a reason AI will be fine:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tBr4AtpPmwhgfG4Mw/comparative-advantage-and-ai
[ETA: Without following the link,] I have no idea whether you agree with them and “serious adults” is supposed to imply Eliezer isn’t one, or you agree with Eliezer and mean “serious adults” sarcastically
I agree with Eliezer. I am trying to express that despite this story being seemingly a caricature of a silly person, this is close to how real experts at the doom labs are thinking. I read the story and thought it was good though I can see where some of the criticism in the comments may come from. My guess is that the story is trying to express: “don’t overestimate people, don’t be surprised in the future if humanity does really dumb stuff. Calibrate yourself that people believe really dumb arguments.” But not sure, maybe he was just venting.
“As you can see”, “serious adults”, “really” and “fine” all (mildly) demonstrate a sense of incredulity. “Look what these people actually believe! Just in case you thought it was a strawman.” It’s admittedly subtle, not stated, and I can see how someone could miss it. (I’ll feel pretty stupid if I’m wrong.)