It’s worth pointing out that the $100 you “donate” probably goes much, much less far than a $100 donation to an effective charity. So it might be better to think in terms of shifting $100 in federal funds. That makes it seem like a lot less of a slam dunk to me. Would I take half an hour out of my day to move $100 from an ineffective government agency to an effective one? Meh. Feels like my other attempts at altruism probably have a much higher expected impact.
I’m also worried about getting called up for jury duty if I re-register to vote now that I’m living in a different county.
It’s worth pointing out that the $100 you “donate” probably goes much, much less far than a $100 donation to an effective charity.
Yes, this is a very good point, and should be part of the $100 billion dollar estimate at the election outcome value… How much do you think the difference of candidates is worth, in MED$? (marginal effective donation dollars)
Some interesting comparisons (I don’t claim these are the most interesting, they’re just off the top of my head):
$100 billion = 1⁄3 (100 million) ($1000) = 1⁄3 (population of the USA) (marginal cost of saving lives with mosquito nets) and also
$100 billion = 1⁄70 (population of the world) (marginal cost of saving lives with mosquito nets)
It’s actually not obvious to me that the difference in candidates would be much less valuable than these things, but these comparisons do make me personally not want to call MED$100 billion a conservative lower bound.
Does anyone have any interesting estimates for the difference of election outcomes in MED$?
It’s worth pointing out that the $100 you “donate” probably goes much, much less far than a $100 donation to an effective charity. So it might be better to think in terms of shifting $100 in federal funds. That makes it seem like a lot less of a slam dunk to me. Would I take half an hour out of my day to move $100 from an ineffective government agency to an effective one? Meh. Feels like my other attempts at altruism probably have a much higher expected impact.
I’m also worried about getting called up for jury duty if I re-register to vote now that I’m living in a different county.
On the whole though, fairly persuasive.
What would you consider an effective government agency?
Yes, this is a very good point, and should be part of the $100 billion dollar estimate at the election outcome value… How much do you think the difference of candidates is worth, in MED$? (marginal effective donation dollars)
Some interesting comparisons (I don’t claim these are the most interesting, they’re just off the top of my head):
$100 billion = 1⁄3 (100 million) ($1000) = 1⁄3 (population of the USA) (marginal cost of saving lives with mosquito nets) and also
$100 billion = 1⁄70 (population of the world) (marginal cost of saving lives with mosquito nets)
It’s actually not obvious to me that the difference in candidates would be much less valuable than these things, but these comparisons do make me personally not want to call MED$100 billion a conservative lower bound.
Does anyone have any interesting estimates for the difference of election outcomes in MED$?