Yeah, for better or worse, the logical induction paper is probably the best thing to read. The idea is actually to think of probabilities as prediction-market prices; the market analogy is a very strong one, not an indirect way of gesturing at the idea.
Yeah, for better or worse, the logical induction paper is probably the best thing to read. The idea is actually to think of probabilities as prediction-market prices; the market analogy is a very strong one, not an indirect way of gesturing at the idea.