Geopolitics and history are, like, really, really hard. I feel like you’re expecting them to be approximately as easy as physics and this is deeply misguided. Among other things, there’s a lack of controlled experiments (and trying to use causal diagrams sounds like it’s computationally intractable).
Geopolitics and history are, like, really, really hard. I feel like you’re expecting them to be approximately as easy as physics and this is deeply misguided. Among other things, there’s a lack of controlled experiments (and trying to use causal diagrams sounds like it’s computationally intractable).