The strongest evidence is that a priori there is not reason to expect
ISTM that you’re using the word evidence in a weird way.
I would probably translate “The strongest evidence is that a priori there is not reason to expect X” into LW jargon as “My priors for X are low.”
ISTM that you’re using the word evidence in a weird way.
I would probably translate “The strongest evidence is that a priori there is not reason to expect X” into LW jargon as “My priors for X are low.”