My prediction is that it is unlikely that a majority of people will use counterfactual reasoning in relevant decisions before a singularity or human extinction. Even if a majority did it, it would still be profitable to have an even larger majority using it. So I wouldn’t worry about the issue of others doing the same. In the same way I don’t worry about everyone going to the same movie I decided to watch.
I still think though that the same format of argument should be valid for making a positive commentary on it. If the Less Wrong crowd doesn’t do so, who will? Assuming of course, that people would like a TED global containing 7 minutes on friendly AI and 7 minutes on Effective Altruism, which may not be the case.
My prediction is that it is unlikely that a majority of people will use counterfactual reasoning in relevant decisions before a singularity or human extinction.
Even if a majority did it, it would still be profitable to have an even larger majority using it. So I wouldn’t worry about the issue of others doing the same. In the same way I don’t worry about everyone going to the same movie I decided to watch.
I still think though that the same format of argument should be valid for making a positive commentary on it. If the Less Wrong crowd doesn’t do so, who will? Assuming of course, that people would like a TED global containing 7 minutes on friendly AI and 7 minutes on Effective Altruism, which may not be the case.