The AI that today can shorten a project from 3 years to 2 didn’t exist 1 year ago. The AI that shortens it from 2 years to 1 doesn’t exist yet.
If you started a project 1 year ago, and today realize current AI could have shorten year 1 to 3 months and can now shorten year 2 to 9 months, and in year 3 you’ll also be using different AI...how should you plan and budget your time? What should you focus on right now? When you should press on vs park the prototype until the next round of model releases?
In my own work I am constantly reconfiguring what I spend time on. What can the frontier AI do? What can the weaker and cheaper AI do? What can both offload to scripts? How can I maximize those and spend my own time on the steps that still benefit from my skills and judgment? It’s a moving target and I’ve learned that even if I know where I want to end up, I shouldn’t plan a timeline too many steps ahead. Better to pivot and tackle pieces opportunistically, riding the wave of capabilities growth.
The AI that today can shorten a project from 3 years to 2 didn’t exist 1 year ago. The AI that shortens it from 2 years to 1 doesn’t exist yet.
If you started a project 1 year ago, and today realize current AI could have shorten year 1 to 3 months and can now shorten year 2 to 9 months, and in year 3 you’ll also be using different AI...how should you plan and budget your time? What should you focus on right now? When you should press on vs park the prototype until the next round of model releases?
In my own work I am constantly reconfiguring what I spend time on. What can the frontier AI do? What can the weaker and cheaper AI do? What can both offload to scripts? How can I maximize those and spend my own time on the steps that still benefit from my skills and judgment? It’s a moving target and I’ve learned that even if I know where I want to end up, I shouldn’t plan a timeline too many steps ahead. Better to pivot and tackle pieces opportunistically, riding the wave of capabilities growth.
I agree that planning a year ahead is unreasonable, the main point is to avoid the temptation of doing 100 one-hour projects.