Hard agree about death/takeover decoupling! I’ve lately been suspecting that P(doom) should actually just be taboo’d, because I’m worried it prevents people from constraining their anticipation or characterizing their subjective distribution over outcomes. It seems very thought-stopping!
Hard agree about death/takeover decoupling! I’ve lately been suspecting that
P(doom)
should actually just be taboo’d, because I’m worried it prevents people from constraining their anticipation or characterizing their subjective distribution over outcomes. It seems very thought-stopping!