From a very broad perspective, not even focused on Earth, but just on the possible destinies of intelligent life in the cosmos once technology comes into play… It would not be surprising to know that in the encounter with technology, intelligent species often blow up their world or inadvertently replace themselves with a successor species, and only sometimes manage to preserve their own existence and imperatives. It’s just that we also get to live through one instance of such an encounter in person.
Also, it looks indeed increasingly likely to me that we can go directly to mind uploading, but still probably not the main bet I would do if AGI race got cancelled.
One of my posts before this one was exactly on that: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RrL7xqdPycGNHQkXR/the-lethal-reality-hypothesis
Also, it looks indeed increasingly likely to me that we can go directly to mind uploading, but still probably not the main bet I would do if AGI race got cancelled.