I feel like there are pretty important predictions to be made around things like whether the current funding situation is going to continue as it is. It seems hard to tell, though what kind of question to ask that provides someone more value, than just reading something like the recent post on what the marginal LTFF grant looks like.
Inspired by John’s post on How To Make Prediction Markets Useful For Alignment Work I made two markets (see below):
I feel like there are pretty important predictions to be made around things like whether the current funding situation is going to continue as it is. It seems hard to tell, though what kind of question to ask that provides someone more value, than just reading something like the recent post on what the marginal LTFF grant looks like.