“Everything happens for a reason” is false. “Nothing happens for a reason” is also false. We humans do things through reason and goals sometimes for example. I think rationalists are right to emphasize epistemics and have better tools than most people to not get lost privileging hypotheses that are hopelessly unlikely. I think they error too much on the “nothing happens for a reason” side. Most of them reason too carefully given the tools available to them. “Everything happens for a reason” is false, but if you don’t prompt your brain with “Everything happens for a reason” or equivalent mantras once in a while, you will not learn how sophisticated a causal inference your brain is actually capable of. This only works if you are appropriately scope sensitive which I believe currently nobody is, but if you never saw something in the tea leaves that wasn’t there you are not actually trying hard enough to make use of all data available to you. This way you also learn what different forms of “noise” look like given the tools available to you is only one of the many advantages. You don’t actually get to avoid that failure mode doing slow reasoning. Reality is too difficult a problem. I don’t actually use that particular phrase I have more like wordless mantras and some that I will write about that are actually true. Actually true ones are important so maybe don’t use that one above I changed my mind. I mostly went for optimized pedagogy about a point.
The ultimate reason is called M-theory. Just throw some complex analysis at Gödel’s interpretation of General Relativity. It’s just Coriolis effect all the way down. To be clear I am just vibing here.
“Everything happens for a reason” is false. “Nothing happens for a reason” is also false. We humans do things through reason and goals sometimes for example. I think rationalists are right to emphasize epistemics and have better tools than most people to not get lost privileging hypotheses that are hopelessly unlikely. I think they error too much on the “nothing happens for a reason” side. Most of them reason too carefully given the tools available to them. “Everything happens for a reason” is false, but if you don’t prompt your brain with “Everything happens for a reason” or equivalent mantras once in a while, you will not learn how sophisticated a causal inference your brain is actually capable of. This only works if you are appropriately scope sensitive which I believe currently nobody is, but if you never saw something in the tea leaves that wasn’t there you are not actually trying hard enough to make use of all data available to you. This way you also learn what different forms of “noise” look like given the tools available to you is only one of the many advantages. You don’t actually get to avoid that failure mode doing slow reasoning. Reality is too difficult a problem. I don’t actually use that particular phrase I have more like wordless mantras and some that I will write about that are actually true. Actually true ones are important so maybe don’t use that one above I changed my mind. I mostly went for optimized pedagogy about a point.
“Everything happens for a reason. A typical reason is that someone is an idiot.”
This is so funny. I agree.
Very rarely everyone else is. Strong evidence is common ;)
The ultimate reason is called M-theory. Just throw some complex analysis at Gödel’s interpretation of General Relativity. It’s just Coriolis effect all the way down. To be clear I am just vibing here.
Nobodies reasoning was circular enough to see that self-reference is so common XD.
To think well, your brain has to go full circle. XD
I am BPP, but I only used to be on speed. Now I am cold-hearted.