Questions to think about: When should we be epistemically modest? How often should we stick to our guts and object-level view? When should we not trust the wisdom of the crowds? When to use the Inside View vs Outside View?
Fun question: LLMs can be (falsely) instructed that they’re a human. - Do you believe in modest epistemology, where, if many agents wrongly believe they have trait X, you shouldn’t be surer than their prior frequency that *you’re* really X? - If yes: Are you therefore worried you’re an LLM?
We’re going to discuss this topic, and many more, at the next ACX Montreal meetup.
Venue: Ye Olde Orchard Pub & Grill, 20 Prince Arthur St W. Date & Time: Saturday, December 23rd, 2023, 1:00-5:00 PM.
Please RSVP. During the winter season, I need to make a reservation at Ye Olde Orchard, which makes this very important!It is not mandatory, but it helps with planning the event and encourages others to come. If you’re unsure you can make it, RSVP as “maybe” and update it when you’re better informed.
ACX Montreal Meetup December 23rd 2023
Come on out to the ACX (Astral Codex Ten) Montreal Meetup! This week, the discussion will revolve around Modest Epistemology.
Optional readings to get up to speed:
Modest Epistemology LW tag (2m read)
In Defense Of Epistemic Modesty [distillation] (10m read) by Luise (Here for the non-distilled version)
Against Modest Epistemology (18m read) by Eliezer Yudkowsky
Immodest Caplan (2m read) by Robin Hanson
Questions to think about: When should we be epistemically modest? How often should we stick to our guts and object-level view? When should we not trust the wisdom of the crowds? When to use the Inside View vs Outside View?
Fun question: LLMs can be (falsely) instructed that they’re a human.
- Do you believe in modest epistemology, where, if many agents wrongly believe they have trait X, you shouldn’t be surer than their prior frequency that *you’re* really X?
- If yes: Are you therefore worried you’re an LLM?
We’re going to discuss this topic, and many more, at the next ACX Montreal meetup.
Venue: Ye Olde Orchard Pub & Grill, 20 Prince Arthur St W.
Date & Time: Saturday, December 23rd, 2023, 1:00-5:00 PM.
Please RSVP. During the winter season, I need to make a reservation at Ye Olde Orchard, which makes this very important! It is not mandatory, but it helps with planning the event and encourages others to come. If you’re unsure you can make it, RSVP as “maybe” and update it when you’re better informed.
Join the mailing list and our Discord server.