Two concepts that changed my life:
1. Some people consider themselves “Super connectors” and purposely create networks and relationships between people they believe will benefit from knowing each other. To be effective, this requires certain personality traits combined with specific skills.
2. There are super connector super connectors.
Tuk
Karma: 64
On Framing Political Opinions to Quickly Assess the Crux of Disagreement
In some contexts it makes more sense to *minimize expected regret* rather than to *maximize expected utility*.
Thank you!
There seems to be (at least) two approaches:
1. Accepting and debating claims at face value, falsifying via evidence
2. Tracing the memetic lineage of claims, pointing out flaws of the source as refutation of the claims.I’m not convinced which approach is superior. It seems like once you’ve done #1, claims deriving from #1 can be attacked via #2.
But my training is to always use #1, which is more laborious but I think more rigorous.
Borrowing from your future happiness is not self-care, it’s debt.
If your self-care requires you to exert even more effort in the future it’s actually self-sabotage.
Find a better method for caring for yourself that makes your future self have even less to do. Sometimes that takes more effort up front; an investment.
I sent you a private message with details. See you there!
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meet-up
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meet-up
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meet-up
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meet-up
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meet-up
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meet-up
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meetup
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meetup
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meetup
Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meet-up
So I’m not leaving the country (yet) but if I was:
1. Create a list of indicators. These are events which provide evidence of imminent social unrest or war. Examples include: threatening to nuke other countries, being sanctioned by the UN for human rights violations, or IDK, indefinitely detaining children. Must be unique events, not vague like “breakdown of civil discourse” This is your line in the sand. Precommit that if X and Y happen you’re going to leave ASAP.
2. Create a list of alternative locations. Establish criteria, filter the globe for matches.
3. Research expatriation process to those countries. There are tons of expat forums online with advice on how to do this. Note that there are usually several visa options and the easiest ones will be clogged with applications depending on your criteria in step 2.
4. Keep your nose clean and get out before there’s actual cause. People will think you’re nuts, that’s how you know it’s early enough. If you stay past the point when people realize it’s time to leave/move you’re going to have to switch to a defensive strategy.
I don’t think this has been coined so I’m doing it.
Tuk’s Law: If you can think of a statement of belief—no matter how absurd—someone believes it’s true.
Broke: “opportunity never knocks twice at any man’s door”
Woke: “Opportunities are a culmination of the sacrifices that we make to achieve our goals, the possibilities that we create for ourselves which gives us the best chance to succeed.”
Bespoke: Opportunity is always going around knocking on doors. That means success is number of doors*probability of Opportunity knocking. Only one side of that equation can be controlled.
Buy more doors.