Potsdam High School used to graduate 150 students each June about 30 years ago, now it is down to 75-90 each year. Potsdam is a town of about 10,000 people with two colleges in NY. The real decline is in the even smaller rural schools outside of the population centers. Those schools are often getting down to 10-20 students in a graduating class, and the wider issue is those students come from a large geographic area.
Side note: I believe some of the demographic collapse at the younger end is being masked by the increase in Amish population. Two Amish families can produce as many kids as in an elementary school classroom.
I was on the cusp of the old Algebra-Trig-Calc Regents to Course 1, 2, & 3 in the early 1990s, it is a funny game.
The interesting thing about the region is the Amish have moved in, and I think that is somewhat disguising youth population decline. Technically they make lots of kids, but those kids have severely limited employment options. The Amish got there in the 1970s and have expanded rapidly. There are also four colleges, Clarkson, St. Lawrence, SUNY Potsdam and SUNY Canton. Most likely the two SUNY schools will be merged in coming years.
Only mentioning the colleges because we recently had a big clue about Albany‘s attitude towards rural campuses. The state legislature allocated a bunch of money to help the rural SUNY schools, and gave it to the SUNY system. Even though the money was intended for the rural colleges, it wasn’t specific enough in how it was allocated and so SUNY central decided to just give it all to their main campuses.
Now the Governor is talking about making SUNY schools profitable like they are a business.
https://www.syracuse.com/schools/2026/02/suny-makes-progress-toward-getting-struggling-schools-back-into-the-black.html
I guess my inspiration for writing this is knowing the region so well, knowing it is heavily dependent on the government and knowing that I have never experienced uncertainty like now. So much of region is dependent on Canadians and one of the main bridges to Canada lost a nearly million just in tolls in one year.
https://northcountrynow.com/stories/a-year-without-canadians-obpa-loses-nearly-1-million-in-2025-tolls,349219
Anyhow, anytime you hear of rural Japan, as a local I have a feeling a lot of upstate NY will follow.