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ChristianWilliams

Karma: 378

U.S. Democ­racy Threat In­dex: $10,000 in Fore­cast­ing Prizes

ChristianWilliams12 Dec 2025 19:43 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­tac­u­lus is Hiring a Head of Con­sult­ing Services

ChristianWilliams26 Sep 2025 21:43 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(apply.workable.com)

Mar­ket Pulse Challenge 25Q3, $7,500 Prize Pool

ChristianWilliams4 Jul 2025 17:03 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Fore­cast AI 2027

ChristianWilliams12 Jun 2025 21:12 UTC
20 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Anal­y­sis of Au­to­mated Prompt Eng­ineer­ing for Forecasting

ChristianWilliams12 Jun 2025 15:49 UTC
6 points
0 comments7 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

The Me­tac­u­lus Cup Series Is Live, $5,000 Prize Pool

ChristianWilliams5 May 2025 17:14 UTC
4 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

POTUS Pre­dic­tions Tournament

ChristianWilliams3 Apr 2025 22:48 UTC
15 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Pen­sacola – ACX Mee­tups Every­where Spring 2025

ChristianWilliams25 Mar 2025 23:48 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

USAID Out­look: A Me­tac­u­lus Fore­cast­ing Series

ChristianWilliams12 Mar 2025 20:34 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Build a Me­tac­u­lus Fore­cast­ing Bot in 30 Minutes: A Prac­ti­cal Guide

ChristianWilliams22 Feb 2025 3:52 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

The State of Metaculus

ChristianWilliams5 Feb 2025 19:17 UTC
21 points
0 comments6 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

AI Fore­cast­ing Bench­mark: Con­grat­u­la­tions to Q4 Win­ners + Q1 Prac­tice Ques­tions Open

ChristianWilliams10 Jan 2025 3:02 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Bridge­wa­ter x Me­tac­u­lus Fore­cast­ing Con­test Goes Global — Feb 3, $25k, Opportunities

ChristianWilliams7 Jan 2025 21:40 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Fore­cast 2025 With Vox’s Fu­ture Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool

ChristianWilliams20 Dec 2024 23:00 UTC
19 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Fore­cast With GiveWell

ChristianWilliams11 Dec 2024 17:52 UTC
11 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Pre­dic­tions as Public Works Pro­ject — What Me­tac­u­lus Is Build­ing Next

ChristianWilliams22 Oct 2024 16:35 UTC
5 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Can AI Out­pre­dict Hu­mans? Re­sults From Me­tac­u­lus’s Q3 AI Fore­cast­ing Benchmark

ChristianWilliams10 Oct 2024 18:58 UTC
53 points
2 comments6 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus Is Open Source

ChristianWilliams7 Oct 2024 19:55 UTC
13 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Com­par­ing Fore­cast­ing Track Records for AI Bench­mark­ing and Beyond

ChristianWilliams25 Sep 2024 21:01 UTC
11 points
0 comments19 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus’s ‘Mini­tac­u­lus’ Ex­per­i­ments — Col­lab­o­rate With Us

ChristianWilliams26 Aug 2024 20:44 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)