“the rationality community would be well served by supplementing directly organized LW meetups with piggybacking off TM meetings:”.
What’s your initial reaction to the idea of a lesswrong toastmasters group?
Maybe the group would begin with regular toastmasters but also try to implement new ideas. Like for example, I imagine that in addition to public speaking a rationalist might want to work on their ability to communicate complicated stuff off the cuff. So for example there would be some interface. You would respond. The group would point out things you should optimize for in the future.
There might be a focus on things like
>quantifying results
>coming up with new techniques
>falsifying and recursively optimizing those techniques
Anyone have any thoughts on this?
Dude, no. You are assuming that because you beat the market one time, through crypto, that you can often do so. So then we need to ask ourselves, are the people who beat the market (with crypto) people that consistently beated the market before crypto?
In almost all cases the answer is no. This is a special case where lots of people who are otherwise not good at investing made lots of money. Beating the market in this unique case shouldn’t suggest any ability to recursivly beat the market.