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Underconfidence

TagLast edit: 2 Oct 2020 0:22 UTC by Ruby

Underconfidence is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your priors and the evidence you are aware of.

Blog posts

See also

The Sin of Underconfidence

Eliezer Yudkowsky20 Apr 2009 6:30 UTC
74 points
185 comments6 min readLW link

Say Wrong Things

G Gordon Worley III24 May 2019 22:11 UTC
100 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

Si­mul­ta­neous Over­con­fi­dence and Underconfidence

abramdemski3 Jun 2015 21:04 UTC
36 points
6 comments5 min readLW link

Sta­tus Reg­u­la­tion and Anx­ious Underconfidence

Eliezer Yudkowsky16 Nov 2017 19:35 UTC
55 points
10 comments21 min readLW link

A note about cal­ibra­tion of confidence

jbay4 Jan 2016 6:57 UTC
17 points
35 comments8 min readLW link

Against Modest Epistemology

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Nov 2017 20:40 UTC
53 points
49 comments15 min readLW link

The Im­por­tance of Self-Doubt

multifoliaterose19 Aug 2010 22:47 UTC
28 points
746 comments10 min readLW link

Against Shoot­ing Your­self in the Foot

Eliezer Yudkowsky16 Nov 2017 20:13 UTC
38 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

The Limits of In­tel­li­gence and Me: Do­main Expertise

ChrisHallquist7 Dec 2013 8:23 UTC
45 points
79 comments5 min readLW link

How con­fi­dent should we be?

[deleted]1 Jan 2012 15:57 UTC
10 points
19 comments1 min readLW link
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