AI Races and Macrostrategy

Thinking about the scaling of large language models, especially the consequences of coding AI on the economy.

Ethan Ca­ballero on Pri­vate Scal­ing Progress

A con­crete bet offer to those with short AGI timelines

Why Copi­lot Ac­cel­er­ates Timelines

The Codex Skep­tic FAQ

Phil Tram­mell on Eco­nomic Growth Un­der Trans­for­ma­tive AI