Future humans in specific, will at least one of: [ die off early, run lots of high-fidelity simulations of our universe’s history [“ancestor-simulations”], decide not to run such simulations
Is there any specific reason the first option is “die off early” and not “be unable to run lots of high-fidelity simulations”? The latter encompasses the former as well as scenarios where future humans survive but for one reason or the other can’t run these simulations.
I think a more general argument, in my opinion, would look like this:
“Future humans will at least one of 1) be unable to run high-fidelity simulations or 2) be unwilling to run high-fidelity simulations or 3) run high-fidelity simulations.”
Yes, I think that’s a validly equivalent and more general classification. Although I’d reflect that “survive but lack the power or will to run lots of ancestor-simulations” didn’t seem like a plausible-enough future to promote it to consideration, back in the ’00s.
Is there any specific reason the first option is “die off early” and not “be unable to run lots of high-fidelity simulations”? The latter encompasses the former as well as scenarios where future humans survive but for one reason or the other can’t run these simulations.
I think a more general argument, in my opinion, would look like this:
“Future humans will at least one of 1) be unable to run high-fidelity simulations or 2) be unwilling to run high-fidelity simulations or 3) run high-fidelity simulations.”
Yes, I think that’s a validly equivalent and more general classification. Although I’d reflect that “survive but lack the power or will to run lots of ancestor-simulations” didn’t seem like a plausible-enough future to promote it to consideration, back in the ’00s.