My question after reading this is about Eliezer’s predictions in a counterfactual without regulatory bottlenecks on economic growth. Would it change the probable outcome, or would we just get a better look at the oncoming AGI train before it hit us? (Or is there no such counterfactual well-defined enough to give us an answer?) ETA: Basically trying to get at whether that debate’s actually a crux of anything.
My question after reading this is about Eliezer’s predictions in a counterfactual without regulatory bottlenecks on economic growth. Would it change the probable outcome, or would we just get a better look at the oncoming AGI train before it hit us? (Or is there no such counterfactual well-defined enough to give us an answer?) ETA: Basically trying to get at whether that debate’s actually a crux of anything.