I mean, “is a large part of the state space” is basically what “high entropy” means!
For case 3, I think the right way to rule out this counterexample is the probabilistic criterion discussed by John—the vast majority of initial states for your computer don’t include a zero-day exploit and a script to automatically deploy it. The only way to make this likely is to include you programming your computer in the picture, and of course you do have a world model (without which you could not have programmed your computer)
But the vast majority of initial states for a lump of carbon/oxygen/hydrogen/nitrogen atoms do not include a person programming a computer with the intention of taking over the internet. Shouldn’t you apply the same logic there that you apply to the case of a computer?
In fact a single zero day exploit is certainly much simpler than a full human, so aprior it’s more likely for a computer with a zero day exploit to form from the void than for a computer with a competent human intent on taking over the internet to form from the void.
I mean, “is a large part of the state space” is basically what “high entropy” means!
For case 3, I think the right way to rule out this counterexample is the probabilistic criterion discussed by John—the vast majority of initial states for your computer don’t include a zero-day exploit and a script to automatically deploy it. The only way to make this likely is to include you programming your computer in the picture, and of course you do have a world model (without which you could not have programmed your computer)
But the vast majority of initial states for a lump of carbon/oxygen/hydrogen/nitrogen atoms do not include a person programming a computer with the intention of taking over the internet. Shouldn’t you apply the same logic there that you apply to the case of a computer?
In fact a single zero day exploit is certainly much simpler than a full human, so aprior it’s more likely for a computer with a zero day exploit to form from the void than for a computer with a competent human intent on taking over the internet to form from the void.