Wow, without context, that’s a really weird claim that makes me not want to engage with you. It’s really common for people with misogynist beliefs to declare a rape allegation “manifestly false” even when it’s true, because they have a lot of false beliefs around sexual assault or around the psychology of trauma. Without knowing anything about your situation, it makes me update much more strongly towards believing you’re a misogynist and/or believing you have bad epistemics than towards any object-level belief.
I’ve been involved in investigating lots of misconduct cases in another community, and have basically never encountered an allegation that was manifestly false; even in cases where I thought a claim was false, it was ambiguous and always incredibly difficult to make a call. Importantly it was (and should be) painful to make those calls, full of anxiety that we got it wrong and the awareness of how badly it would hurt somebody to disbelieve a true allegation; I can’t imagine being so confident in that conclusion that I’d then go online and use “I’ve heard multiple stories about this” as though it were solid evidence for the frequency of false allegations. I expect I’m exposed to something like 100x more stories about sexual misconduct than the average person, but I only know of one allegation that I’d say I know for sure was false; I’d be really surprised if someone knew of more without having held a similar investigatory position in a community. It strikes me as much more likely that people with very poor epistemic hygiene are repeating secondhand “false allegation” stories with much more confidence than is warranted.
I figured I’d write something rather than just not replying, on the off-chance that you’re not aware of this; I don’t intend to be rude, just to be clear about why I won’t engage further. Have a nice day.
I want to mention that regardless of who is right in this discussion, I decided to upvote and agree this comment strongly, for the following reason: I definitely want to flag that this part of your comment below is very important, since this context is really important for people that don’t grok sexual assault to notice, and in particular we have good reason to believe that the biases are self-serving.
It’s really common for people with misogynist beliefs to declare a rape allegation “manifestly false” even when it’s true, because they have a lot of false beliefs around sexual assault or around the psychology of trauma.
Wow, without context, that’s a really weird claim that makes me not want to engage with you.
With context, presumably, it wouldn’t be such a weird claim, yes? If so, then why assume there’s no such context?
Anyway, here’s an example. (This wasn’t “rape”, I don’t think, but merely “sexual harassment / assault”, but it’s close enough to establish the principle. I know of other examples that were “rape”, but I can’t easily link them / they’re not related to this community / etc.)
This is without getting into the publicly known and much-discussed examples like this one. (Surely you can’t have missed all the media attention that one received…?)
It strikes me as much more likely that people with very poor epistemic hygiene are repeating secondhand “false allegation” stories with much more confidence than is warranted.
Wow, without context, that’s a really weird claim that makes me not want to engage with you. It’s really common for people with misogynist beliefs to declare a rape allegation “manifestly false” even when it’s true, because they have a lot of false beliefs around sexual assault or around the psychology of trauma. Without knowing anything about your situation, it makes me update much more strongly towards believing you’re a misogynist and/or believing you have bad epistemics than towards any object-level belief.
I’ve been involved in investigating lots of misconduct cases in another community, and have basically never encountered an allegation that was manifestly false; even in cases where I thought a claim was false, it was ambiguous and always incredibly difficult to make a call. Importantly it was (and should be) painful to make those calls, full of anxiety that we got it wrong and the awareness of how badly it would hurt somebody to disbelieve a true allegation; I can’t imagine being so confident in that conclusion that I’d then go online and use “I’ve heard multiple stories about this” as though it were solid evidence for the frequency of false allegations. I expect I’m exposed to something like 100x more stories about sexual misconduct than the average person, but I only know of one allegation that I’d say I know for sure was false; I’d be really surprised if someone knew of more without having held a similar investigatory position in a community. It strikes me as much more likely that people with very poor epistemic hygiene are repeating secondhand “false allegation” stories with much more confidence than is warranted.
I figured I’d write something rather than just not replying, on the off-chance that you’re not aware of this; I don’t intend to be rude, just to be clear about why I won’t engage further. Have a nice day.
I want to mention that regardless of who is right in this discussion, I decided to upvote and agree this comment strongly, for the following reason: I definitely want to flag that this part of your comment below is very important, since this context is really important for people that don’t grok sexual assault to notice, and in particular we have good reason to believe that the biases are self-serving.
With context, presumably, it wouldn’t be such a weird claim, yes? If so, then why assume there’s no such context?
Anyway, here’s an example. (This wasn’t “rape”, I don’t think, but merely “sexual harassment / assault”, but it’s close enough to establish the principle. I know of other examples that were “rape”, but I can’t easily link them / they’re not related to this community / etc.)
This is without getting into the publicly known and much-discussed examples like this one. (Surely you can’t have missed all the media attention that one received…?)
Hardly applies to the above examples!