This is just the standard sleeping beauty paradox and I’d suggest that the issue isn’t unique to FNC.
However, you are a bit quick in concluding it is time inconsistent as it’s not altogether clear that one is truly referring to the same event before and after you have the observation. The hint here is that in the standard sleeping beauty paradox the supposed update involves only information you already were certain you would get.
Id argue that what’s actually going on is that you are evaluating slightly different questions in the two cases
This is not the standard sleeping beauty paradox, as the information you are certain to get does not involve any amnesia or duplication before you get it.
This is just the standard sleeping beauty paradox and I’d suggest that the issue isn’t unique to FNC.
However, you are a bit quick in concluding it is time inconsistent as it’s not altogether clear that one is truly referring to the same event before and after you have the observation. The hint here is that in the standard sleeping beauty paradox the supposed update involves only information you already were certain you would get.
Id argue that what’s actually going on is that you are evaluating slightly different questions in the two cases
This is not the standard sleeping beauty paradox, as the information you are certain to get does not involve any amnesia or duplication before you get it.