It is not quite clear to me whether you are here just talking about instances of sleepwalking, or whether you are also talking about a predictive error indicating anti-sleepwalking bias: i.e. that they wrongly predicted that the relevant actors would act, yet they sleepwalked into a disaster.
Also, my claim is not that sleepwalking never occurs, but that people on average seem to think that it happens more often than it actually does.
It is not quite clear to me whether you are here just talking about instances of sleepwalking, or whether you are also talking about a predictive error indicating anti-sleepwalking bias: i.e. that they wrongly predicted that the relevant actors would act, yet they sleepwalked into a disaster.
Also, my claim is not that sleepwalking never occurs, but that people on average seem to think that it happens more often than it actually does.