If I were to do it again, I might include such an option, though I’m still not terribly sad I didn’t.
If we really wanted that info, I could sample and survey people who received the message, looked at it (we have data to know this) and ask them why they didn’t vote. My guess is between 1-10% of people who didn’t vote because of frame commented about it,, so that’s 40 to 400.
372 people have responded by now out of 2500, so 15%. Let’s guess that 50% of people saw it by now, so ~1250 (though could get better data on it). A third responded if so, which seems great for a poll. Of those the 800 who saw but didn’t, I could see 100-400 doing so because the frame didn’t really seem right (lining up with the above estimate). Which seems fine. I bet if I’d spent 10x developing the poll, I wouldn’t get that number down much, and knowing it with more precision doesn’t really help. It’s LW, people are very picky and precise (a virtue...but also makes having some nice things hard).
If I were to do it again, I might include such an option, though I’m still not terribly sad I didn’t.
If we really wanted that info, I could sample and survey people who received the message, looked at it (we have data to know this) and ask them why they didn’t vote. My guess is between 1-10% of people who didn’t vote because of frame commented about it,, so that’s 40 to 400.
372 people have responded by now out of 2500, so 15%. Let’s guess that 50% of people saw it by now, so ~1250 (though could get better data on it). A third responded if so, which seems great for a poll. Of those the 800 who saw but didn’t, I could see 100-400 doing so because the frame didn’t really seem right (lining up with the above estimate). Which seems fine. I bet if I’d spent 10x developing the poll, I wouldn’t get that number down much, and knowing it with more precision doesn’t really help. It’s LW, people are very picky and precise (a virtue...but also makes having some nice things hard).