Could someone provide some color on what “insanity” refers to here? Are we talking about O(people becoming unproductive crackpots), or O(people developing psychosis)?
Mmmm, I’m reasonably close to Nate’s social circles and I would’ve guessed he meant more the former than the latter (though nonzero the latter as well).
Good point. To be more clear, I should say maybe he means the former, but I’d like to say that I agree with this post more in the latter sense. The latter being perhaps not more probable but having larger magnitude, thus a scarier negative EV.
Could someone provide some color on what “insanity” refers to here? Are we talking about O(people becoming unproductive crackpots), or O(people developing psychosis)?
More the second one. Plus runaway anxiety spirals and depression.
Mmmm, I’m reasonably close to Nate’s social circles and I would’ve guessed he meant more the former than the latter (though nonzero the latter as well).
Good point. To be more clear, I should say maybe he means the former, but I’d like to say that I agree with this post more in the latter sense. The latter being perhaps not more probable but having larger magnitude, thus a scarier negative EV.