If the chance also has a huge payoff, then it can be worth it.
And yes this is very much like Pascals Wager, But Pascal’s Wager is a correct form of argument for a course of action, if the numbers come out right. It’s just a standard risk analysis.
Pascal’s Wager is fallacious when used as an argument for the truth of the matter.
“How could he turn down a chance, however slight, to debate Christian theology after returning from the dead?”
My answer is: At some point, “however slight” is “too slight.” I stand by my statement. Your initial statement implies that any non-zero chance is enough; that’s not a proper risk analysis.
If a chance is sufficiently slight, it’s not worth putting a substantial amount of money into. You’re moving into Pascal’s Wager territory.
If the chance also has a huge payoff, then it can be worth it.
And yes this is very much like Pascals Wager, But Pascal’s Wager is a correct form of argument for a course of action, if the numbers come out right. It’s just a standard risk analysis.
Pascal’s Wager is fallacious when used as an argument for the truth of the matter.
“How could he turn down a chance, however slight, to debate Christian theology after returning from the dead?”
My answer is: At some point, “however slight” is “too slight.” I stand by my statement. Your initial statement implies that any non-zero chance is enough; that’s not a proper risk analysis.