“50:4” in the post refers to “P(V=1|A=100)*1 : P(V=100|A=100)*100″, not “EV(A=1) : EV(A=100)”. EV(A=1) is irrelevant, since we know that A is in fact 100.
I think this confused me:
So the ratio of the expected value contributions changes from 50:1 to 50:4.
I see that. Thanks.
“50:4” in the post refers to “P(V=1|A=100)*1 : P(V=100|A=100)*100″, not “EV(A=1) : EV(A=100)”. EV(A=1) is irrelevant, since we know that A is in fact 100.
I think this confused me:
I see that. Thanks.