To expand a bit on the first paragraph, I feel that such reasonable arguments are to many people about the same as the proof of Poincaré conjecture is to me: I fully understand the proposition, but I’m not nearly smart enough to follow the proof sufficiently well to be confident it’s right.
Importantly, I can also follow the outline of the proof, to see how it’s intended to work, but this is of course insufficient to establish the validity of the proof.
So the only real reason I happen to trust this proof is that I already have a pre-established trust in the community who reviewed the proof. But of course the same is also true of a believer who has a pre-established trust in the theist community.
So the guide would require a section on “how to pick authorities to trust”, which would explain why it’s necessary (impractical to verify everything yourself) and why the scientific community is the best one to trust (highest rate of successful predictions and useful conclusions).
To expand a bit on the first paragraph, I feel that such reasonable arguments are to many people about the same as the proof of Poincaré conjecture is to me: I fully understand the proposition, but I’m not nearly smart enough to follow the proof sufficiently well to be confident it’s right.
Importantly, I can also follow the outline of the proof, to see how it’s intended to work, but this is of course insufficient to establish the validity of the proof.
So the only real reason I happen to trust this proof is that I already have a pre-established trust in the community who reviewed the proof. But of course the same is also true of a believer who has a pre-established trust in the theist community.
So the guide would require a section on “how to pick authorities to trust”, which would explain why it’s necessary (impractical to verify everything yourself) and why the scientific community is the best one to trust (highest rate of successful predictions and useful conclusions).