the numbers of ebola cases were no longer exponential since mid Sept.
instead they stay almost constant with ~900 new cases per week since Sep.14
This should have been clear to WHO and researchers at least since mid-Oct.
Still they publically repeated the “exponential” forecasts , based on papers
using old data. Ban ki Moon (on 2014/10/09) and Chan(on 2014/10/14) and Aylward
said it.
WHO until now puts forward their containment plan based on 5000-10000 new
cases in the first week of december. They didn’t correct it yet.
according to Fukuda on 2014/10/23, the WHO-committee on 2014/10/22
on the third meeting of the International Health Regulations Emergency Committee
regarding the 2014 Ebola outbreak in West Africa stated that there continued to be
exponential increase of cases in Guinea,Liberia,Sierra Leone
the numbers of ebola cases were no longer exponential since mid Sept. instead they stay almost constant with ~900 new cases per week since Sep.14 This should have been clear to WHO and researchers at least since mid-Oct. Still they publically repeated the “exponential” forecasts , based on papers using old data. Ban ki Moon (on 2014/10/09) and Chan(on 2014/10/14) and Aylward said it. WHO until now puts forward their containment plan based on 5000-10000 new cases in the first week of december. They didn’t correct it yet.
according to Fukuda on 2014/10/23, the WHO-committee on 2014/10/22 on the third meeting of the International Health Regulations Emergency Committee regarding the 2014 Ebola outbreak in West Africa stated that there continued to be exponential increase of cases in Guinea,Liberia,Sierra Leone