Given a field with no expert consensus, where you can’t just check things yourself, shouldn’t the rational response be uncertainty?
I don’t think global warming fits this description, though. AFAIK domain experts almost all broadly agree.
AFAIK domain experts almost all broadly agree.
The devil is in the details. They “broadly agree” on what? I don’t think there’s that much consensus on forecasts of future climate change.
Yes. This. And the details aren’t trivial. They make a huge difference in policy. From “do nothing” to “reduce all growth and progress immediately or we go extinct”.
Given a field with no expert consensus, where you can’t just check things yourself, shouldn’t the rational response be uncertainty?
I don’t think global warming fits this description, though. AFAIK domain experts almost all broadly agree.
The devil is in the details. They “broadly agree” on what? I don’t think there’s that much consensus on forecasts of future climate change.
Yes. This. And the details aren’t trivial. They make a huge difference in policy. From “do nothing” to “reduce all growth and progress immediately or we go extinct”.