Say Not “Com­plex­ity”

Pos­i­tive Bias: Look Into the Dark

The Fu­til­ity of Emergence

Mys­te­ri­ous An­swers to Mys­te­ri­ous Questions

Se­man­tic Stopsigns

Fake Causality

Science as Attire

Guess­ing the Teacher’s Password

Fake Explanations

Is Molec­u­lar Nan­otech­nol­ogy “Scien­tific”?

Scien­tific Ev­i­dence, Le­gal Ev­i­dence, Ra­tional Evidence

Hind­sight De­val­ues Science

Hind­sight bias

One Ar­gu­ment Against An Army

Up­date Your­self Incrementally

Con­ser­va­tion of Ex­pected Evidence

Ab­sence of Ev­i­dence Is Ev­i­dence of Absence

I Defy the Data!

Your Strength as a Rationalist

The Apoca­lypse Bet

You Can Face Reality

The Virtue of Narrowness

The Proper Use of Doubt

Fo­cus Your Uncertainty

The Im­por­tance of Say­ing “Oops”

Reli­gion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable

God is irrelevant

Belief as Attire

Pro­fess­ing and Cheering

Bayesian Judo

Belief in Belief

Mak­ing Beliefs Pay Rent (in An­ti­ci­pated Ex­pe­riences)

Free will isn’t a con­cept (un­less you mean de­ter­minism)

Two More Things to Un­learn from School

Open Thread

Are Your Ene­mies In­nately Evil?

Cor­re­spon­dence Bias

Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t

One Life Against the World

Scope Insensitivity

Third Alter­na­tives for After­life-ism

The Third Alternative

Be­ware the Unsurprised

Think Like Reality

Univer­sal Law

Univer­sal Fire

Feel­ing Rational

Con­soli­dated Na­ture of Mo­ral­ity Thread

Your Ra­tion­al­ity is My Business

New Im­proved Lottery