I’ve seen several people mention this on Twitter, but it doesn’t seem to be discussed much beyond that, and the stock market seems pretty normal (S&P 500 down 2% in the last month).
Is this not really a useful signal? Or is the market under-reacting?
[Question] How much should I worry about the Atlanta Fed’s GDP estimates?
The Atlanta Fed is seemingly predicting −2.8% GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025.
I’ve seen several people mention this on Twitter, but it doesn’t seem to be discussed much beyond that, and the stock market seems pretty normal (S&P 500 down 2% in the last month).
Is this not really a useful signal? Or is the market under-reacting?