[Question] Does taking extreme measures to avoid the coronavirus make sense when you factor in the possibility of a really long life?

Some back of the napkin math. Suppose we:

  • Value a QUALY at $50k.

  • Use an expected lifespan of 10k years. Perhaps you expect a 1% chance of living 1M years due to the possibility of a friendly superintelligence or something.

That would mean:

  • The value of your life would be $500M.

  • A 1% chance of death would cost $5M.

  • A 100x smaller chance of death of 0.01% would cost $50k.

  • Decreasing your chance of death 100x would be worth ~$5M.

There seem to be various ways to decrease your chance of death from the coronavirus by 100x or more by going from “normal careful” to extremely careful.

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