Or, in the opposite case, declaring that your once-over the text has revealed what believers “really” believe.
So very much this.
Or, in the opposite case, declaring that your once-over the text has revealed what believers “really” believe.
So very much this.
Good points, all. Fiendfyre seems robust.
I might counter that most combat magic, even the adult sort, seems to be line-of-sight, which is a huge handicap. It also seems to be very inaccurate. If Harry & Co can literally dodge Deatheaters on foot and brooms, supersonic jets and HALO insertions are going to be really hard to target. Not to mention artillery shells in flight. And Wizards seem weirdly resistant to (biased against?) using magical heavy weapons or fire team tactics. They have a real duelist mentality.
But the ability to erase from time does really trump. I concede.
You don’t actually need a specific major to go to med school. You just need the pre-reqs, a pretty straightforward sequence of mostly-science that you can cram inside most majors. Bio majors are usually the easiest way to do this.
As I mention elsewhere in the thread, med school is usually debt-funded and costs you earning years in your twenties. And your per-hour income is sometimes surprisingly low.
still isn’t obvious
Not sure what to say. There’s finance and there’s finance. HYPS and maybe two or three others have pipelines for pushing kids to the banks and hedge funds at the very top. And yes, I mean undergrad. The fourth or fifth of each class that goes into finance isn’t doing it to sell mutual funds in mid-sized cities. Many bail after a few years, but those who stay in can easily become millionaires, and some do it before their former classmates in med school finish their residencies.
ETA: you’re right that it’s bogus to compare top-of-the-line finance to average physician. I should have said “The average Stanford-educated physician makes far less over his lifetime than he could applying the same horsepower and hours worked to, say, finance.”
OP is going to Stanford, so a career at GS, Deutsche Bank, JPM, or Bridgewater is a realistic possiblity in a way it simply isn’t at 99.9% of schools.
Edit to add: WRT networking, it’s kind of a suitcase word. Lots of people talk about it. I am sceptical that public speaking and improv classes are the best places to meet the best networking prospects, though they might be excellent for meeting interesting people. Athletes typically do better than the mean at Stanford-type schools in terms of career earnings, despite lower HS GPAs and test scores. If you’re not currently a recruited athlete, you might still be able to walk on to the crew team or ultimate team.
If you’re interested in maximizing income, I would rule out pre-med. It’s sub-optimal preparation for any career except medicine, and medicine is sub-optimal for income. A few reasons:
Salaries are essentially capped by reimbursement rates and man-hours. The best surgeon in the world isn’t going to make more than a few million a year doing elective surgeries twelve hours a day year round.
The things that generate the most income for rich people with MD’s, patents and start-ups and C-suite gigs, don’t require the MD credential. There are better stepladders. The possible exception is medical celebrity, but the odds of you being the next Dr. Oz are extremely low.
The average physician makes far less over his lifetime than he could applying the same horsepower and hours worked to, say, finance. It’s a fairly straightforward back-of-the-envelope calculation. In addition to losing seven to ten years of income after college (residency only pays a little above living wages) and possibly incurring $250K in student debt when money means the most due to time-value, you’ll graduate into a market absolutely determined (for very understandable reasons) to bend the healthcare cost curve down and pay doctors less. American doctors are currently paid much, much better than doctors almost everywhere else in the world, due in large part to guild-like protections, and this cannot continue indefinitely. Globalization’s already lined up to crush radiology and elective surgery, two of the better-remunerated fields, and IBM would very much like to put oncologists everywhere out of a job. Another half-dozen specialties are in turf battles against mid-level providers like nurses.
All that said, I highly recommend medicine. Just not for optimized philanthropy.
This is plausible to me, too. I’ve had very productive friends with very different rhythms.
But I suspect far more people believe they operate best staying up late and sleeping late than actually do. There’s a reason day shifts frequently outperform night shifts given the same equipment. And we know a lot of people suffer health-wise on night shift.
I agree, though it’s always been interesting to me how the tiniest details of clothing become much clearer signals when eveybody’s almost the same. Other military practices that I think conserve your energy for what’s important:
-Daily, routinized exercise. Done in a way that very few people are deciding what comes next.
-Maximum use of daylight hours
-Minimized high-risk projects outside of workplace (paternalistic health care, insurance, and in many cases, housing and continuing education.)
Thanks for the link. It’s a nice summary of the state of research a few years back, and anybody who’s interested in the topic should read it.
It is probably even more interesting to me because it tacks pretty hard away from the conclusions some people have drawn in this thread. The authors clearly did not believe that the well-attested differences in IQ testing across ethnic groups could be ascribed to genetic factors.
A lot of the current research focuses on “trust” inside groups. This is not exactly double-blinded climate controlled stuff, as you might expect, just brave and smart social psychologists doing their best. I find it highly plausible and confirmatory of many centuries of non-scientific observations about insularity. Disclaimer: I AM NOT SAYING DISTRUST OF PEOPLE OF OTHER BELIEF SYSTEMS IS GOOD, JUST THAT IT HAPPENS.
Atheism associated with lack of “trustworthiness signals” by believers.
Religious in-group trust and cooperation is higher.
I know of no studies on friction over expression of religious beliefs. I do kind of take as a given that there are fewer HR complaints when everybody’s got the same Sacred Heart/Darwin amphibian/Santa Muerte/COEXIST bumper sticker.
Though some obvious confounders do come to mind...
Granted that there are huge trade-offs for religious homogeneity, and I think that it’s almost always a bad business decision (exceptions: semi-utopian communes? survival in Hobbesian chaos? new colonies without hope of reinforcement?) It was just an exemplary argument of a sort made less often than, you know, arguments about race and IQ.
I’d love the world to be more biased in favour of my own highest stat
You can re-allocate some of that to Charisma if you work really hard (stand-up comedy is a learned skill) and if you have a British or Australian accent you get +1 just by coming to North America and talking. Provided you haven’t already maxed it, Strength is highly trainable, as are Dexterity and Constitution. Even HP, up till about 30 when bone density stops accumulating. Wisdom is extremely trainable, and there’s some evidence the world’s biased that direction, so I’d throw points there when in doubt.
why is the relevant disadvantaged class “black people”
As far as it goes, I’m in favor of preserving opportunities for all sorts of people to work, because it’s humanizing and it makes people happy. We’re all in favor of that, right?
But I also don’t think there’s been historic, organized pressure to keep low-IQ people from finding useful labor, and while such people deserve the protection of the law, it’s not illuminating to compare their plight to a group of people who were denied the ability to find employment they were very capable of using intimidation, violence, and bad-faith law....
...tools which, and this is sad, were very much still in use when the Civil Right Act was passed, and would still be in use today if it had never been passed.
Racial “classes”—not sets of corresponding genetic polymorphisms, which science tells us about, but race as we understand it in America, which is both more and less complicated—were not created by the Civil Rights Act, or the civil rights movement. They were created long before that, to justify cruelty, and to deny the continuing effect of that social construction would have been, in the the judgment of the majority of our Congress in 1964 and our Supreme Court since then, counterproductive.
All other things being equal, is anyone disagreeing with this?
Not at all. It’s a very rationalist sort of argument. There are many like it. I think it would be terrific if we spent more time exploring those, possibly at the expense of focusing heavily on arguments that seem a little less than disinterested.
I would be very surprised if IQ correlates at .6 with, say, wealth or income. Parental wealth and income possibly correlate no more than 0.5 to childrens’ incomes, and it would be frankly remarkable for IQ to be (1) transmitted intergenerationally to a large degree, and (2) more closely correlated to financial outcomes than one’s parent’s financial outcomes, since your parents often give you not only your genes, but your inheritance/early support, financial assumptions, and first set of career contacts.
The complexity of software is an essential property, not an accidental one. Hence, descriptions of a software entity that abstract away its complexity often abstract away its essence.
Yeah, I feel these objections, and I don’t think your heuristic is bad. I would say, though, and I hold no brief for CFAR, never having donated or attended a workshop, that there is another heuristic possibly worth considering: generally more valuable products are not free. There are many exceptions to this, and it is possible for sellers to counterhack this common heuristic by using higher prices to falsely signal higher quality to consumers. But the heuristic is not worthless, it just has to be applied carefully.
Ah. I read that one as a reference to the tendency to let tribal affiliation trump realistic evaluation of outcomes.
A demonstration of the gray fallacy. The opinions of Ariel Castro are not equidistant from the truth with those of the rest of society, and we don’t find the truth by finding a middle ground between his claims and those of everybody else.
While the stereotypical surgeon may be gruff/demanding/efficient/decisive, most surgeons are required to work in and even lead teams. The profession selects for aggressiveness and confidence, not for loners (though there are obviously some in any profession). Medical training prior to specialization will be exceptionally challenging if you dislike working with people.
Pathology might be a medical specialty where you were able to indulge your love of biology while working in relative solitude, but that’s a pretty narrow slice of the pie to target. Per your concerns about ROI, radiology is probably the medical specialty in the US most likely to deflate in the next several years, given that wages are exceptionally high and that there are few material barriers preventing radiographs from being read by physicians in other time zones, or even other countries.