I don’t think about it too much. It’s not a very useful thing to spend mental energy on. Alignment either gets solved or we die, and there’s little benefit to personally preparing for either possibility, beyond having a broad index fund to hedge against the unlikely outcome where (1) alignment is solved, (2) there’s little to no UBI, (3) stock investments still provide returns, and (4) money is actually useful for me.
I’m an optimist myself (~94% odds of an okay outcome, IMO), but whether you’re an optimist or a pessimist, short timelines have little immediate consequence other than reducing the expected value of long-term future preparation, beyond those orientated towards solving alignment.
I don’t think about it too much. It’s not a very useful thing to spend mental energy on. Alignment either gets solved or we die, and there’s little benefit to personally preparing for either possibility, beyond having a broad index fund to hedge against the unlikely outcome where (1) alignment is solved, (2) there’s little to no UBI, (3) stock investments still provide returns, and (4) money is actually useful for me.
I’m an optimist myself (~94% odds of an okay outcome, IMO), but whether you’re an optimist or a pessimist, short timelines have little immediate consequence other than reducing the expected value of long-term future preparation, beyond those orientated towards solving alignment.