In addition to prediction markets, there are also, y’know, normal financial markets, which implicitly predict lots of things. But I don’t personally know how to speak the language. For example, does the market say anything about the price of food, or possibility of shortages, in three months? Like, shouldn’t there be some future / option / something whose price corresponds to a prediction about that? Or shortages of other things? Does anyone know?
In addition to prediction markets, there are also, y’know, normal financial markets, which implicitly predict lots of things. But I don’t personally know how to speak the language. For example, does the market say anything about the price of food, or possibility of shortages, in three months? Like, shouldn’t there be some future / option / something whose price corresponds to a prediction about that? Or shortages of other things? Does anyone know?