Much of this depends on what kind of AI we get and how long we live in relatively the same conditions as that AI.
The unstated assumptions here seem to me to be something like:
AI provides relatively fixed levels of automation, getting gradually better over time
AI doesn’t accelerate us towards some kind of singularity so that society has time to adapt to tiering
I’m pretty suspicious of accepting the second assumption here, as I think just the opposite is more likely. But, given the assumptions Acemoglu seems to be making, a two-tiered society split seems a likely outcome to me.
What levels of automation does the AI provide and at what rate is what he suggests to influence directly (specifically, slow down), through economic and political measures. So it’s not fair to list that as an assumption.
Much of this depends on what kind of AI we get and how long we live in relatively the same conditions as that AI.
The unstated assumptions here seem to me to be something like:
AI provides relatively fixed levels of automation, getting gradually better over time
AI doesn’t accelerate us towards some kind of singularity so that society has time to adapt to tiering
I’m pretty suspicious of accepting the second assumption here, as I think just the opposite is more likely. But, given the assumptions Acemoglu seems to be making, a two-tiered society split seems a likely outcome to me.
What levels of automation does the AI provide and at what rate is what he suggests to influence directly (specifically, slow down), through economic and political measures. So it’s not fair to list that as an assumption.