Ah, I see. In the table is the log score of my pill predictions (-0.6). I made predictions about the accuracy of my predictions—confusing perhaps.
log score of my pill predictions (-0.6)
If did not make a mistake, this score could be achieved by e.g. giving ~55% probabilities and being correct every time or by always giving 70% probabilities and being right ~69 % of the time.
Ah, I see. In the table is the log score of my pill predictions (-0.6). I made predictions about the accuracy of my predictions—confusing perhaps.
If did not make a mistake, this score could be achieved by e.g. giving ~55% probabilities and being correct every time or by always giving 70% probabilities and being right ~69 % of the time.