If people know my views they should update away half the time when they hear my arguments, so I guess I shouldn’t be bummed (though hopefully that usually involves their impressions moving towards mine and their peer disagreement adjustment shrinking).
I’d love to read an articulation of the fast takeoff argument in a way that makes sense to me, and was making this post in part to elicit that. (One problem is that different people seem to have wildly different reasons for believing in fast takeoff.)
If people know my views they should update away half the time when they hear my arguments, so I guess I shouldn’t be bummed (though hopefully that usually involves their impressions moving towards mine and their peer disagreement adjustment shrinking).
I’d love to read an articulation of the fast takeoff argument in a way that makes sense to me, and was making this post in part to elicit that. (One problem is that different people seem to have wildly different reasons for believing in fast takeoff.)