Fundamentally, OP is making the case that Biorisk is an extremely helpful (but not exact) analogy for AI risk, in the sense that we can gain understanding by looking the ways it’s analogous, and then get an even more nuanced understanding by analyzing the differences.
The point made seems to be more about it’s place in the discourse than about the value of the analogy itself? (E.g. “The Biorisk analogy is over-used” would be less misleading then)
Half a year ago, I’d have guessed that OpenAI leadership, while likely misguided, was essentially well-meaning and driven by a genuine desire to confront a difficult situation. The recent series of events has made me update significantly against the general trustworthiness and general epistemic reliability of Altman and his circle. While my overall view of OpenAI’s strategy hasn’t really changed, my likelihood of them possibly “knowing better” has dramatically gone down now.