Lotus Cobra

Karma: 2

Lotus Cobra 29 Mar 2020 20:51 UTC
1 point
on: [Update: New URL] Today’s Online Meetup: We’re Using Mozilla Hubs
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Lotus Cobra 15 Sep 2021 18:45 UTC
1 point
on: The Best Software For Every Need
Software: Salesforce
Need: Customer relationship management (CRM)
Other programs I’ve tried: Hubspot, Sharpspring, Zoho
If you need a CRM for your business I would be hard-pressed to recommend anything other than Salesforce. It’s the clear winner in terms of user interface design, flexibility, graphing, and integration. Competitors can be less expensive, and it’s true that with all the bells and whistles Salesforce can cost something like $300/month per user, but on the low end the price is competitive and it comes with a host of features that you’d have to pay for on Hubspot and aren’t available at all on Zoho.

Lotus Cobra 3 Dec 2021 4:29 UTC
3 points
on: Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works
Is Humbali right that generic uncertainty about maybe being wrong, without other extra premises, should increase the entropy of one’s probability distribution over AGI, thereby moving out its median further away in time?
I’ll give the homework a shot.
Entropy is the amount of uncertainty inherent in your probability distribution, so generic uncertainty implies an increase in the entropy of one’s probability distribution (whatever the eventual result is, it provides you more information than if would have if you were more certain beforehand). However, I do not think it follows that the median is therefore further in the future. Increasing one’s generic uncertainty regarding the difficulty of creating AGI rules out knowing that an AGI requires more compute than Google can currently throw at the problem, then it requires ruling out knowing that an AGI can’t be created using affordable 2021 consumer hardware, etc. High entropy probability distributions cannot rule out researchers having the final stroke of insight in 20 minutes, or the NSA having an airgapped AGI in their basement since 2017. Generic uncertainty means relying more heavily on your priors; it’s not clear to me that this moves the estimate towards longer timelines.
I think.