Opinions expressed are my own and not endorsed by anyone.
Formerly @ ARC Evals aka METR
lukehmiles
Karma: 605
This is what I get for glossing over the math. RIP
Have you ever tried hiring someone or getting a job? Mostly lemons all around (apologies for the offense, jobseekers, i’m sure you’re not the lemon)
What about mediocre optimizers? Are they not worth fooling with?
What makes you say so? Seems like 25% chance possible to me. You can find where position is stored and watch for sudden changes. Same thing with score & inventory...
I do not propose one applies this method to a prepotence
I suspect that past therapists existed in your community and knew what you’re actually like so were better able to give you actual true information instead of having to digest only your bullshit and search for truth nuggets in it.
Furthermore, I suspect they didn’t lose their bread when they solve your problem! We have a major incentive issue in the current arrangement!
Andor is a word now. You’re welcome everybody. Celebrate with champagne andor ice cream.
Speedrun ruiner research idea
Is it rude to make a new tag without also tagging a handful of posts for it? A few tags I kinda want:
explanation: thing explained.
idea: an idea for a thing someone could do (weaker version of “Research Agenda” tag)
stating the obvious: pointing out something obviously true but maybe frequently overlooked
experimental result
theoretical result
novel maybe: attempts to do something new (in the sense of novelty requirements for conference publications)
I would watch a ten hour video of this. (It may also be more persuasive to skeptics.)
I think I was wrong and you & Adele Lopez are right and pilot wave would be more lines. I am concerned about god’s RAM though… Maybe if they’ve got good hardware for low-rank matrices then it’s fine.
Furthermore, since pilot wave theory has no collapse postulate, it does not even get rid of the existence of multiple words.
Seems cruxy to me. I thought pilot wave did uhh somehow explicitly set those terms to zero, but I never actually saw that written down. But you can actually use the corpuscles to say which parts of the wave get zeroed out right? If two particles are actually entangled then their corpuscle equations or whatever will tell you that you can’t delete that part of the wave? (Apologies if these questions are malformed — I don’t actually know the math anymore — thought I wouldn’t need it to understand the interpretations but now I’m thinking maybe I do. Really, I need code, not math...)
What does the Elitzur–Vaidman bomb tester look like in Pilot Wave?
Could I just say that the wave interferes with the bomb (if it’s live) and bumps the particle after the wave hits the mirror?
(I don’t actually know enough physics to, like, do the math on that.)
Oh sweet
yud is always like “it cant be that if it werent so then you wouldnt have thought it werent, so it must not be not false”. Oh no my sub-yud IQ might be showing
I must abstain from further culturewaring but this thought experiment is blowing my mind. I hadn’t heard of it.
I have never heard of this!! This could have upside/downside ratio even greater than that of the bidet.
I skimmed through some of Quaise’s videos, but I didn’t see any actual drilling. Might it be a scam?
Oh I thought of one possible downside. Could you set off volcanoes with this? Create new volcanoes? Or would it be impossible to drill deep enough? Or would the magma solidify before it made it up the narrow hole?
Would be quite the new x-risk category lmao. Malicious volcano actors.
Edit: this 2012 slate article explains drilling eruption risk fairly well. Basically, you only have to worry about reservoirs of magma near the surface. Simply far too much rock in the way and too narrow a hole to let much magma out otherwise.
I assume that the dirt gets warm near a magma chamber and you can detect that and stop drilling. Or maybe you can use sonar or something too.
I have no idea how common or high-pressure magma reservoirs away from volcanoes are. (I guess nobody knows.)
Anyway this idea still kicks ass.
How do you remove the dirt from the hole though?
Also, apparently “practical” microwave lasers were invented in 2012¿ I wonder what the limits of that are. Seems like a big deal for warfare potentially.
I have thoughts on that but my formalizations have never been very formal. I think this debate could go unresolved until one of us writes the code.
Your explanation is much appreciated! It’s probably time that I properly go and understand the broken symmetries stuff.
You may be right. Perhaps the way to view this idea is “yet another fuzzy-boundary RL helper technique” that works in a very different way and so will have different strengths and weaknesses than stuff like RLHF. So if one is doing the “serially apply all cheap tricks that somewhat reduce risk” approach then this can be yet another thing in your chain.