# lcmgcd

Karma: 49
• 2 Jul 2022 9:24 UTC
2 points
0 ∶ 0

All i can think of for last one is reversing computed statistics in a report back to overall probability. Seems like kind of often people will report P(A|B) and P(B|A) and one of the other two values is known. Not a super cute intuition though

• This would be sick IMO highly visual things underrated. If you believe public attention valuable. Idk if it’s gonna slow down the ai firms or anything. I would try it though

• Thanks for the nits, cuz this kind of thing is all about nits! Agree with the first two, re your third one, it’s safeSub and safeAdd that would protect from overflows. Like the transaction, they’re more complex in the sense that their implementation is probably slower and more code, but simpler in the sense that they have a less constrained “safe space of operation”. (I am in search of a better term for that.)

# Do your­self a FAVAR: se­cu­rity mindset

18 Jun 2022 2:08 UTC
16 points
• Is this the best thing you wrote?

• Don’t forget about automatic numerical prompt tuning. Gives it way way better performance than we can get with words.

• 6 Mar 2022 10:21 UTC
LW: 1 AF: 1
AF

The difference between evolution and gradient descent is sexual selection and predator/​prey/​parasite relations.

Agents running around inside everywhere—completely changes the process.

Likewise for comparing any kind of flat optimization or search to evolution. I think sexual selection and predator-prey made natural selection dramatically more efficient.

So I think it’s pretty fair to object that you don’t take evolution as adequate evidence to expect this flat, dead, temporary number cruncher will blow up in exponential intelligence.

I think there are other reasons to expect that though.

• But you can multiply mean deviation by 54 (technically sqrt(pi/​2)) to get standard deviation, if the distribution is normal. I.e. the two measures are identical but mean deviation is far more intuitive and therefore likely to yield better guesstimates, no?

• Any thoughts on mean deviation? Seems more intuitive in some ways

• We have but one metric of the real, price-independent, value of goods and services: Robin Hanson’s polls where he asks “would you own a home but die ten years early” and crap like that. You can compile his Twitter polls into some kind of constraints system and use it to fill in the true value of all things, extrapoterpoinferlating from other would-you-rather style polls. Then get Real Actual GDP

• That misses element 4 right?

>>> from itertools import product
>>> B = [[{0, 1}, {2, 3, 4}], [{0, 2, 3}, {1, 3}]]
>>> list(product(*B))
[({0, 1}, {0, 2, 3}),
({0, 1}, {1, 3}),
({2, 3, 4}, {0, 2, 3}),
({2, 3, 4}, {1, 3})]
>>> [set.intersection(*tup) for tup in product(*B)]
[{0}, {1}, {2, 3}, {3}]
>>> set.union(*[set.intersection(*tup) for tup in product(*B)])
{0, 1, 2, 3}
• Definition paraphrasing attempt /​ question:

Can we say “a factorization B of a set S is a set of nontrivial partitions of S such that ” (cardinality not taken)? I.e., union(intersect(t in tuple) for tuple in cartesian_product(b in B)) = S. I.e., can we drop the intermediate requirement that each intersection has a unique single element, and only require the union of the intersections is equal to S?

• Mm i think “the higher process X is produced by SA” is different drill “the higher process X is implementing SA”

• You didn’t mean to but you’ve written a critique of using RCT’s to figure out medicine.

• Imagine if you start with 100x stone and kinda quit any piece that doesn’t seem to be going pretty well when you half ass it and are not too picky about the final result. That’s a rough rough estimate.

• I think I can be a pretty good duck sometimes but where does that go on my resume? I need to get places with other skills but then i think my real move is duck

# Against un­stop­pable crypto pre­dic­tion markets

25 Feb 2021 6:02 UTC
2 points