Would the Institute consider hiring telecommuters (both in and out the US)?
Update: this question was left unanswered in the second Q&A.
Would the Institute consider hiring telecommuters (both in and out the US)?
Update: this question was left unanswered in the second Q&A.
The trick is to evaluate right to left.
Economic… Weirdtopia: The world has an indirect economy. People trade status for predictive power to decide which ventures get the most attention and which resources to allocate to whom/what. Businesses are considered a weird anachronism of a begone era. People are free to do whatever they want with their status, except trade real property. (They can, however, use it to make the market grant favours if they want.) Life’s necessities are always freely accessible.
Governmental… Weirdtopia: Every conflict is resolved either by consensus or moving away. There are even seed spaceships moving far away from Sol for the latter option. Non-violence isn’t the rule, it’s the law. Every intelligence agreed to remove violent urges. Non-violence has an extremely broad definition that not only covers force, but also deception, market manipulation, even advertising, bad manners and ostracism. Honesty is not expected, it just is; the only way people find out what the word means is through history classes.
You can find it in chapter 63:
I will say this much, Mr. Potter: You are already an Occlumens, and I think you will become a perfect Occlumens before long. Identity does not mean, to such as us, what it means to other people. Anyone we can imagine, we can be; and the true difference about you, Mr. Potter, is that you have an unusually good imagination. A playwright must contain his characters, he must be larger than them in order to enact them within his mind. To an actor or spy or politician, the limit of his own diameter is the limit of who he can pretend to be, the limit of which face he may wear as a mask. But for such as you and I, anyone we can imagine, we can be, in reality and not pretense. While you imagined yourself a child, Mr. Potter, you were a child. Yet there are other existences you could support, larger existences, if you wished. Why are you so free, and so great in your circumference, when other children your age are small and constrained? Why can you imagine and become selves more adult than a mere child of a playwright should be able to compose? That I do not know, and I must not say what I guess. But what you have, Mr. Potter, is freedom.
He drew attention to the wand after Hermione committed herself to going to the cage. Maybe he didn’t have to, but that’s the sort of cleverness I expect from him. It tricked you, after all.
Why do people keep assuming Quirrell thinks of Harry as an enemy?
I can’t speak for people, but Harry is Voldemort’s enemy in canon. Until I see some extraordinary evidence to the contrary, I’m going to assume that hasn’t changed.
Hi.
edit: I suspect LW has fewer lurkers than average. Speaking as a lurker, the conversations here are not easy to follow (this is more the structure rather than content, but sometimes the content gets pretty esoteric). I’ve limited my participation to reading top level posts of interest, and the comments if the article is sufficiently fresh.
As I’m not much of a contributor, you can take my suggestion with a grain of salt but: Why not file away all deleted non-spam comments to a place where they can be read, but are out of the way? That way, moderators don’t have to worry so much about censoring people and can instead focus on keeping discussions civil/troll-free.
Rather than unfriendly AI, I think he means a Friendly AI that’s only Friendly to one person (or very few people). If we’re going to be talking about this concept then we need a better term for it. My inner nerd prefers Suzumiya AI.
I fully agree with this.
edit: someone may think this comment doesn’t contribute at all. the someone that did also took the additional step of downvoting the OP, so make of that what you will.
As I’m waiting to watch the Trump Obama meeting, I’m changing my mind to elaborate. I’ve never really been an active participator in the LW community and if I’m going to distance myself further so be it. As an example, compare this to this and this. If Eliezer actually believed that politics is the mind killer and had any interest in intellectual honesty, he would admit he was hoodwinked by that live action roleplay game of his. He won’t, hence my disgust.
This sounds like a good idea, thanks for committing the time for it! On reading I had two thoughts:
While I’m assuming that you’re willing to try helping with anything, people with more technical problems will appreciate a summary of what skills you can provide in particular.
I’m also wondering if there is demand for this in a format more like HN office hours.
And I know you didn’t simply leave out an explanation that exists somewhere, because such understanding would probably mean a solution for the captcha problem.Dileep, George, and Hawkins, Jeff. 2005. “A Hierarchical Bayesian Model of Invariant Pattern Recognition in the Visual Cortex.” available from citeseer (direct download pdf) (Accessed November 9, 2011).
I notice in the 1994 study, the students were directly asked for their forecasts. Do any of the studies try to get students to write down their forecasts on an envelope to be opened after they have finished their project, to try to avoid any possible social pressure?
single Scheme lambda
What scaffolding are you going to use for the tests? (For example: #!racket seems to be implied. I’d like to be sure of all of your details.)
Is there anyone keeping a history of the story? I suspect there are some clues to be gleamed from the edits.
(Note: I originally specifically asked for what was chapter 76 but now 77, but I realized that the thing I was looking for was there all along. Regardless I am still interested in a history.)
There’s nothing to worry about. We were presented with the same challenge in Three Worlds Collide. If we don’t succeed, we will just get a false ending instead of a true ending.
And in light of Eliezer’s response, perhaps find someone he is willing to debate on the topic.
I looked at the list and thought it strange. As you said, some items have more details than others. Why? Did Ray see stronger reasons for less likely predictions, to put them on par with the vaguer ones? What role does his Law of Accelerating Returns play in this? As the more detailed claims are more wrong than the vague ones, has he become more skeptical of his ability to make predictions using his rationale?
I also agree that (this sort of) futurism isn’t about prediction. Many of the claims aren’t useful. Worse still, not only are some of the predictions are vague but some are difficult to interpret specifically in ways that introduce bias. For example: what is a “growing” Luddite movement? Is (2007AD, 5,000ppl) → (2008AD, 10,000ppl) growing? Is “dramatically lighter and thinner” meant to be wearable computing (which seems to be implied from the theme of the other predictions), netbooks (which actually exist, and seem to be the default assumption of people looking at it today) or something else entirely?
I have taken the survey.