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jacobjacob

Karma: 2,467

The Coper­ni­can Revolu­tion from the Inside

jacobjacob
1 Nov 2017 10:51 UTC
146 points
44 comments19 min readLW link

Brains and back­prop: a key timeline crux

jacobjacob
9 Mar 2018 22:13 UTC
89 points
34 comments7 min readLW link

Un­con­scious Economics

jacobjacob
27 Feb 2019 12:58 UTC
81 points
20 comments4 min readLW link

Cri­sis and op­por­tu­nity dur­ing coronavirus

jacobjacob
12 Mar 2020 20:20 UTC
70 points
5 comments5 min readLW link

[Job ad] Lead an am­bi­tious COVID-19 fore­cast­ing pro­ject [Dead­line ex­tended: June 10th]

jacobjacob
27 May 2020 16:38 UTC
56 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

[Question] Un­der­stand­ing in­for­ma­tion cascades

13 Mar 2019 10:55 UTC
55 points
37 comments3 min readLW link

[Part 1] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – Models of im­pact and challenges

19 Dec 2019 15:50 UTC
53 points
21 comments17 min readLW link

FHI pa­per on COVID-19 gov­ern­ment countermeasures

jacobjacob
4 Jun 2020 21:06 UTC
50 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(doi.org)

[Part 2] Am­plify­ing gen­er­al­ist re­search via fore­cast­ing – re­sults from a pre­limi­nary exploration

19 Dec 2019 15:49 UTC
48 points
5 comments14 min readLW link

Pre­dic­tion as coordination

jacobjacob
23 Jul 2019 6:19 UTC
46 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Con­ver­sa­tion on fore­cast­ing with Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen

30 Jul 2019 11:16 UTC
43 points
18 comments32 min readLW link

AI Fore­cast­ing Dic­tionary (Fore­cast­ing in­fras­truc­ture, part 1)

8 Aug 2019 16:10 UTC
43 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Four kinds of problems

jacobjacob
21 Aug 2018 23:01 UTC
41 points
11 comments3 min readLW link1 nomination

[Question] When should we ex­pect the ed­u­ca­tion bub­ble to pop? How can we short it?

jacobjacob
9 Feb 2019 21:39 UTC
41 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Can we use ideas from ecosys­tem man­age­ment to cul­ti­vate a healthy ra­tio­nal­ity memes­pace?

13 Jun 2019 12:38 UTC
37 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] What is a rea­son­able out­side view for the fate of so­cial move­ments?

jacobjacob
4 Jan 2019 0:21 UTC
36 points
27 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are CAIS’ bold­est near/​medium-term pre­dic­tions?

jacobjacob
28 Mar 2019 13:14 UTC
35 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] When does adding more peo­ple re­li­ably make a sys­tem bet­ter?

jacobjacob
19 Jul 2019 4:21 UTC
35 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

[Link] Beyond the hill: thoughts on on­tolo­gies for think­ing, es­say-com­plete­ness and fore­cast­ing

jacobjacob
2 Feb 2020 12:39 UTC
35 points
6 comments1 min readLW link